FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf match summary and prediction — 3. Liga
Our model makes FC Ingolstadt 04 the pick at 43% for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
FC Ingolstadt 04 face Fortuna Düsseldorf on 7 November 2026 at Audi Sportpark, Ingolstadt. FC Ingolstadt 04 are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 43%. This matchday 13 fixture in 3. Liga is listed as FC Ingolstadt 04 - Fortuna Düsseldorf. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
FC Ingolstadt 04: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (7 scored and 7 conceded in six matches, 1.17 and 1.17 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 58.1 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of -1.
Fortuna Düsseldorf: they come in on two successive draws, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (7 scored and 8 conceded in seven matches, 1.0 and 1.14 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.5 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -2.
Comparison data
| Statistic | FC Ingolstadt 04 | Fortuna Düsseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 10th |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWWWL | DDLWD |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 6 | 6 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.17 / 1.17 | 1.0 / 1.14 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.83 | 1.29 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 58.1 | 44.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 43% | 29% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: FC Ingolstadt 04 58.1 versus Fortuna Düsseldorf 44.5, a gap of 13.6, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans FC Ingolstadt 04's way at 54%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards FC Ingolstadt 04 at 43%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. FC Ingolstadt 04's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts FC Ingolstadt 04's way, especially at Audi Sportpark.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: FC Ingolstadt 04 or Fortuna Düsseldorf?
FC Ingolstadt 04, with an implied win probability of roughly 43%. The full split is 43% FC Ingolstadt 04, 28% the draw and 29% Fortuna Düsseldorf.
When and where is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf being played?
7 November 2026 at Audi Sportpark, Ingolstadt, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have FC Ingolstadt 04 and Fortuna Düsseldorf met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of FC Ingolstadt 04 and Fortuna Düsseldorf?
FC Ingolstadt 04 have taken 10 points from their last five (DWWWL), Fortuna Düsseldorf 6 from theirs (DDLWD). Most recently FC Ingolstadt 04 took a 1-1 draw away at Havelse and Fortuna Düsseldorf a 0-0 draw at home to SV Meppen.
How many goals are expected in FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 1.00 for FC Ingolstadt 04 and 1.20 for Fortuna Düsseldorf. It rates over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.