Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg match summary and prediction — 3. Liga
There is barely anything between Preußen Münster and MSV Duisburg on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Preußen Münster face MSV Duisburg on 7 November 2026 at Preussenstadion, Munster. Preußen Münster are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 39%. This matchday 13 fixture in 3. Liga is listed as Preußen Münster - MSV Duisburg. Kick-off is 15:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Preußen Münster: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 8 conceded in six matches, 1.83 and 1.33 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.6 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -3.
MSV Duisburg: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (13 scored and 10 conceded in seven matches, 1.86 and 1.43 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.2 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +14.
Side by side
| Statistic | Preußen Münster | MSV Duisburg |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | -3 | +14 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLLD | DLDWW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 10 | 12 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.83 / 1.33 | 1.86 / 1.43 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.0 | 1.57 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 37.6 | 55.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 39% | 35% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Preußen Münster 37.6 versus MSV Duisburg 55.2, a gap of 17.6, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Twelve places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Preußen Münster's way at 49%.
The call
The model does not commit. Preußen Münster is the nominal pick at 39%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Preußen Münster's way, especially at Preussenstadion.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Preußen Münster or MSV Duisburg?
Preußen Münster, with an implied win probability of roughly 39%. The full split is 39% Preußen Münster, 26% the draw and 35% MSV Duisburg.
When and where is Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg being played?
7 November 2026 at Preussenstadion, Munster, kick-off 15:30 UTC.
Have Preußen Münster and MSV Duisburg met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Preußen Münster and MSV Duisburg?
Preußen Münster have taken 4 points from their last five (LWLLD), MSV Duisburg 8 from theirs (DLDWW). Most recently Preußen Münster took a 1-2 defeat away at Alemannia Aachen and MSV Duisburg a 3-3 draw at home to Stuttgart II.
How many goals are expected in Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 1.60 for Preußen Münster and 1.60 for MSV Duisburg. It rates over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.