Fenerbahçe vs Eyüpspor — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Fenerbahçe host Eyüpspor with a season still short of where it should be — 11th in Süper Lig and three games without a win. Form, comparison data, head-to-head and our model's read.
Match summary
Eyüpspor travel to Fenerbahçe on 20 September 2026 at Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul. Fenerbahçe are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This matchday 6 fixture in Süper Lig is listed as Fenerbahçe - Eyüpspor. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Fenerbahçe: they come in on two successive draws, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (44 scored and 25 conceded in 22 matches, 2.0 and 1.14 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.8 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of +2. For a club of Fenerbahçe's standing, that is a season off track rather than a slow start.
Eyüpspor: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (22 scored and 23 conceded in 16 matches, 1.38 and 1.44 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 33.5 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -6.
Side by side
| Statistic | Fenerbahçe | Eyüpspor |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 17th |
| Goal difference | +2 | -6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDLWW | LLWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 4 | 2 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 22 | 16 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 2.0 / 1.14 | 1.38 / 1.44 |
| Points per game (2025) | 2.0 | 1.19 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 48.8 | 33.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 11% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Fenerbahçe 48.8 versus Eyüpspor 33.5, a gap of 15.3, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Big club, bad season: Fenerbahçe are 11th with a goal difference of +2 and three games without a win — well short of where a club of their standing expects to be.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams to score at 63%.
- First goal: Leans Fenerbahçe's way at 60%.
The call
The model does not commit. Fenerbahçe is the nominal pick at 46%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Fenerbahçe's way, especially at Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Fenerbahçe or Eyüpspor?
Fenerbahçe, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Fenerbahçe, 43% the draw and 11% Eyüpspor.
When and where is Fenerbahçe vs Eyüpspor being played?
20 September 2026 at Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Fenerbahçe and Eyüpspor?
Fenerbahçe 3-3 Eyüpspor on 17 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Fenerbahçe and Eyüpspor?
Fenerbahçe have taken 8 points from their last five (DDLWW), Eyüpspor 3 from theirs (LLWLL). Most recently Fenerbahçe took a 0-0 draw away at Gaziantep FK and Eyüpspor a 0-2 defeat at home to Rizespor.
How many goals are expected in Fenerbahçe vs Eyüpspor?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.80 for Fenerbahçe and 1.00 for Eyüpspor. It rates over 2.5 goals at 43%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 63%, so its call is yes.