Göztepe vs Rizespor: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes a draw the pick at 52% for Göztepe vs Rizespor. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Göztepe face Rizespor on 20 September 2026. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 52%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This matchday 6 fixture in Süper Lig is listed as Göztepe - Rizespor. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Göztepe: they come in on the back of a draw, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 18 conceded in 15 matches, 1.33 and 1.2 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 30.7 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -4.
Rizespor: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 25 conceded in 16 matches, 1.56 and 1.56 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.2 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Göztepe | Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 18th | 5th |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLLLD | WLWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 2 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 13 | 5 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 15 | 16 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.33 / 1.2 | 1.56 / 1.56 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.47 | 1.44 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 30.7 | 55.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 14% | 34% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Göztepe 30.7 versus Rizespor 55.2, a gap of 24.6, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: 13 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.75, over 2.5 goals at 32% and both teams to score at 45%.
- First goal: Leans Rizespor's way at 62%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to a draw at 52%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Rizespor's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Göztepe or Rizespor?
Neither side. Our model splits it 14% Göztepe, 52% the draw and 34% Rizespor, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Göztepe vs Rizespor being played?
20 September 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Göztepe and Rizespor met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Göztepe and Rizespor?
Göztepe have taken 2 points from their last five (DLLLD), Rizespor 9 from theirs (WLWLW). Most recently Göztepe took a 2-2 draw away at Alanyaspor and Rizespor a 2-0 win away at Eyüpspor.
How many goals are expected in Göztepe vs Rizespor?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.75 — 1.25 for Göztepe and 1.50 for Rizespor. It rates over 2.5 goals at 32%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 45%, so its call is no.