Eyüpspor vs Kasımpaşa match summary and prediction — Süper Lig
Our model makes Eyüpspor the pick at 42% for Eyüpspor vs Kasımpaşa. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Eyüpspor face Kasımpaşa on 24 October 2026. Eyüpspor are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 42%. This matchday 9 fixture in Süper Lig is listed as Eyüpspor - Kasımpaşa. Kick-off is 10:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Eyüpspor: they come in on five defeats in a row. That is no wins, no draws and five defeats from the last five, worth 0 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (22 scored and 23 conceded in 16 matches, 1.38 and 1.44 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 20.0 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -20.
Kasımpaşa: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (19 scored and 28 conceded in 17 matches, 1.12 and 1.65 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.4 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +3.
Side by side
| Statistic | Eyüpspor | Kasımpaşa |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 18th | 7th |
| Goal difference | -20 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLLL | WLWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 0 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 0 / 19 | 9 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 16 | 17 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.38 / 1.44 | 1.12 / 1.65 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.19 | 1.12 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 20.0 | 52.4 |
| Players unavailable | 4 | 6 |
| Model win probability | 42% | 33% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Eyüpspor 20.0 versus Kasımpaşa 52.4, a gap of 32.4, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Eleven places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.60, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Eyüpspor's way at 51%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Eyüpspor at 42%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Kasımpaşa's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Eyüpspor or Kasımpaşa?
Eyüpspor, with an implied win probability of roughly 42%. The full split is 42% Eyüpspor, 25% the draw and 33% Kasımpaşa.
When and where is Eyüpspor vs Kasımpaşa being played?
24 October 2026, kick-off 10:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Eyüpspor and Kasımpaşa?
Kasımpaşa 1-0 Eyüpspor on 15 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Eyüpspor and Kasımpaşa?
Eyüpspor have taken 0 points from their last five (LLLLL), Kasımpaşa 10 from theirs (WLWDW). Most recently Eyüpspor took a 0-2 defeat away at Erzurumspor FK and Kasımpaşa a 4-1 win at home to Samsunspor.
How many goals are expected in Eyüpspor vs Kasımpaşa?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.60 — 1.40 for Eyüpspor and 2.20 for Kasımpaşa. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists four players unavailable for Eyüpspor and six for Kasımpaşa at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.