Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK: match summary, form and prediction
There is barely anything between Gaziantep FK and Erzurumspor FK on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Gaziantep FK face Erzurumspor FK on 24 October 2026 at Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep. Gaziantep FK are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This matchday 9 fixture in Süper Lig is listed as Gaziantep FK - Erzurumspor FK. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Gaziantep FK: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one win and one draw before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (13 scored and 18 conceded in ten matches, 1.3 and 1.8 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.3 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -4.
Erzurumspor FK: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 8 conceded in eleven matches, 2.27 and 0.73 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.8 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -6.
Side by side
| Statistic | Gaziantep FK | Erzurumspor FK |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 11th |
| Goal difference | -4 | -6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLDW | WDWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 9 | 4 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 4 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 10 | 11 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.3 / 1.8 | 2.27 / 0.73 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.8 | 2.18 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 37.3 | 56.8 |
| Players unavailable | 4 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 38% | 37% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Gaziantep FK 37.3 versus Erzurumspor FK 56.8, a gap of 19.5, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: Gaziantep FK carry the heavier absentee list, four players to no.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Gaziantep FK's way at 50%.
The call
The model does not commit. Gaziantep FK is the nominal pick at 38%, but the three results sit close to even. Erzurumspor FK's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Gaziantep FK's way, especially at Gaziantep Stadyumu.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Gaziantep FK or Erzurumspor FK?
Gaziantep FK, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 38% Gaziantep FK, 25% the draw and 37% Erzurumspor FK.
When and where is Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK being played?
24 October 2026 at Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have Gaziantep FK and Erzurumspor FK met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Gaziantep FK and Erzurumspor FK?
Gaziantep FK have taken 4 points from their last five (LLLDW), Erzurumspor FK 10 from theirs (WDWLW). Most recently Gaziantep FK took a 1-2 defeat away at Başakşehir and Erzurumspor FK a 2-0 win at home to Eyüpspor.
How many goals are expected in Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.40 for Gaziantep FK and 1.20 for Erzurumspor FK. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists four players unavailable for Gaziantep FK and no for Erzurumspor FK at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.