Rizespor vs Trabzonspor: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Rizespor the pick at 41% for Rizespor vs Trabzonspor. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Rizespor host Trabzonspor on 26 October 2026. Rizespor are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 41%. This matchday 9 fixture in Süper Lig is listed as Rizespor - Trabzonspor. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Rizespor: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 25 conceded in 16 matches, 1.56 and 1.56 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.6 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -3.
Trabzonspor: they come in on a four-match winning sequence, following one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 25 conceded in 17 matches, 1.65 and 1.47 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 68.2 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +13.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Rizespor | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 4th |
| Goal difference | -3 | +13 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWDW | WWWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 7 | 11 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 16 | 17 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.56 / 1.56 | 1.65 / 1.47 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.44 | 1.65 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 37.6 | 68.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 41% | 36% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Rizespor 37.6 versus Trabzonspor 68.2, a gap of 30.7, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 62%.
- First goal: Leans Rizespor's way at 52%.
The call
The model edges towards Rizespor at 41%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Trabzonspor's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Rizespor or Trabzonspor?
Rizespor, with an implied win probability of roughly 41%. The full split is 41% Rizespor, 23% the draw and 36% Trabzonspor.
When and where is Rizespor vs Trabzonspor being played?
26 October 2026, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Rizespor and Trabzonspor?
Trabzonspor 1-0 Rizespor on 14 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Rizespor and Trabzonspor?
Rizespor have taken 7 points from their last five (LLWDW), Trabzonspor 12 from theirs (WWWWL). Most recently Rizespor took a 1-2 defeat away at Çorum FK and Trabzonspor a 2-0 win at home to Heart Of Midlothian.
How many goals are expected in Rizespor vs Trabzonspor?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.40 for Rizespor and 1.60 for Trabzonspor. It rates over 2.5 goals at 68%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 62%, so its call is yes.