Samsunspor vs Amed match summary and prediction — Süper Lig
Our model makes Amed the pick at 50% for Samsunspor vs Amed. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Samsunspor face Amed on 24 October 2026 at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu, Samsun. Amed are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 50%. This matchday 9 fixture in Süper Lig is listed as Samsunspor - Amed. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Samsunspor: they come in on five defeats in a row. That is no wins, no draws and five defeats from the last five, worth 0 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (31 scored and 35 conceded in 23 matches, 1.35 and 1.52 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 22.0 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -12.
Amed: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two draws before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (41 scored and 14 conceded in 19 matches, 2.16 and 0.74 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 63.9 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +9.
Side by side
| Statistic | Samsunspor | Amed |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 17th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | -12 | +9 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLLL | WDWWD |
| Points from last 5 | 0 | 11 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 2 / 14 | 13 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 23 | 19 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.35 / 1.52 | 2.16 / 0.74 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.43 | 2.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 22.0 | 63.9 |
| Players unavailable | 6 | 6 |
| Model win probability | 31% | 50% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Samsunspor 22.0 versus Amed 63.9, a gap of 41.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 15 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Amed's way at 55%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Amed at 50%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Amed's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Samsunspor or Amed?
Amed, with an implied win probability of roughly 50%. The full split is 31% Samsunspor, 19% the draw and 50% Amed.
When and where is Samsunspor vs Amed being played?
24 October 2026 at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu, Samsun, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have Samsunspor and Amed met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Samsunspor and Amed?
Samsunspor have taken 0 points from their last five (LLLLL), Amed 11 from theirs (WDWWD). Most recently Samsunspor took a 1-4 defeat away at Kasımpaşa and Amed a 1-0 win at home to Konyaspor.
How many goals are expected in Samsunspor vs Amed?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 1.00 for Samsunspor and 2.20 for Amed. It rates over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists six players unavailable for Samsunspor and six for Amed at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.