Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK match summary and prediction — Süper Lig
There is barely anything between Erzurumspor FK and Çorum FK on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Erzurumspor FK host Çorum FK on 31 October 2026. Erzurumspor FK are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 36%. This matchday 10 fixture in Süper Lig is listed as Erzurumspor FK - Çorum FK. Kick-off is 10:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Erzurumspor FK: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 8 conceded in eleven matches, 2.27 and 0.73 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 57.3 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of -4.
Çorum FK: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 9 conceded in 15 matches, 1.67 and 0.6 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.8 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of +3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Erzurumspor FK | Çorum FK |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 9th |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWDWL | LWWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 4 | 11 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 11 | 15 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 2.27 / 0.73 | 1.67 / 0.6 |
| Points per game (2025) | 2.18 | 2.2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 57.3 | 55.8 |
| Players unavailable | 2 | 6 |
| Model win probability | 36% | 35% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Erzurumspor FK 57.3 versus Çorum FK 55.8, a gap of 1.6, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: Çorum FK carry the heavier absentee list, six players to two.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.00, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Erzurumspor FK's way at 48%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Erzurumspor FK is the nominal pick at 36%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Erzurumspor FK or Çorum FK?
Erzurumspor FK, with an implied win probability of roughly 36%. The full split is 36% Erzurumspor FK, 29% the draw and 35% Çorum FK.
When and where is Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK being played?
31 October 2026, kick-off 10:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Erzurumspor FK and Çorum FK?
Çorum FK 1-1 Erzurumspor FK on 02 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Erzurumspor FK and Çorum FK?
Erzurumspor FK have taken 10 points from their last five (WWDWL), Çorum FK 9 from theirs (LWWLW). Most recently Erzurumspor FK took a 3-1 win away at Gaziantep FK and Çorum FK a 0-2 defeat away at Göztepe.
How many goals are expected in Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.00 — 1.60 for Erzurumspor FK and 2.40 for Çorum FK. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists two players unavailable for Erzurumspor FK and six for Çorum FK at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.