Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş: the numbers, the form and our prediction
There is barely anything between Kasımpaşa and Beşiktaş on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Kasımpaşa face Beşiktaş on 1 November 2026. Kasımpaşa are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 39%. This matchday 10 fixture in Süper Lig is listed as Kasımpaşa - Beşiktaş. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Kasımpaşa: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one win and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (19 scored and 28 conceded in 17 matches, 1.12 and 1.65 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 59.3 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +4.
Beşiktaş: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 16 conceded in 14 matches, 1.5 and 1.14 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 57.0 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +8.
Side by side
| Statistic | Kasımpaşa | Beşiktaş |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 4th |
| Goal difference | +4 | +8 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWLW | WDLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 6 | 9 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 17 | 14 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.12 / 1.65 | 1.5 / 1.14 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.12 | 1.57 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 59.3 | 57.0 |
| Players unavailable | 6 | 6 |
| Model win probability | 39% | 35% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Kasımpaşa 59.3 versus Beşiktaş 57.0, a gap of 2.3, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.80, over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Kasımpaşa's way at 48%.
The call
The model does not commit. Kasımpaşa is the nominal pick at 39%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Kasımpaşa or Beşiktaş?
Kasımpaşa, with an implied win probability of roughly 39%. The full split is 39% Kasımpaşa, 26% the draw and 35% Beşiktaş.
When and where is Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş being played?
1 November 2026, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Kasımpaşa and Beşiktaş?
Beşiktaş 2-1 Kasımpaşa on 19 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Kasımpaşa and Beşiktaş?
Kasımpaşa have taken 12 points from their last five (WWWLW), Beşiktaş 10 from theirs (WDLWW). Most recently Kasımpaşa took a 3-1 win at home to Çorluspor 1947 and Beşiktaş a 2-0 win at home to Başakşehir.
How many goals are expected in Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.80 — 2.00 for Kasımpaşa and 1.80 for Beşiktaş. It rates over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists six players unavailable for Kasımpaşa and six for Beşiktaş at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.