Kocaelispor vs Rizespor: match summary, form and prediction
There is barely anything between Kocaelispor and Rizespor on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Kocaelispor face Rizespor on 31 October 2026 at Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu, Izmit. Kocaelispor are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 39%. This matchday 10 fixture in Süper Lig is listed as Kocaelispor - Rizespor. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Kocaelispor: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 20 conceded in 16 matches, 0.56 and 1.25 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.5 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +2.
Rizespor: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one win and one draw before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 25 conceded in 16 matches, 1.56 and 1.56 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.3 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -4.
Side by side
| Statistic | Kocaelispor | Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 13th |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLLW | LLLWD |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 5 | 9 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 16 | 16 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.56 / 1.25 | 1.56 / 1.56 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.88 | 1.44 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 45.5 | 37.3 |
| Players unavailable | 8 | 4 |
| Model win probability | 39% | 36% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Kocaelispor 45.5 versus Rizespor 37.3, a gap of 8.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: Kocaelispor carry the heavier absentee list, eight players to four.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 62%.
- First goal: Leans Kocaelispor's way at 49%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Kocaelispor is the nominal pick at 39%, but the three results sit close to even. Kocaelispor's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Kocaelispor's way, especially at Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Kocaelispor or Rizespor?
Kocaelispor, with an implied win probability of roughly 39%. The full split is 39% Kocaelispor, 25% the draw and 36% Rizespor.
When and where is Kocaelispor vs Rizespor being played?
31 October 2026 at Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu, Izmit, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Kocaelispor and Rizespor?
Rizespor 2-0 Kocaelispor on 20 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Kocaelispor and Rizespor?
Kocaelispor have taken 9 points from their last five (WWLLW), Rizespor 4 from theirs (LLLWD). Most recently Kocaelispor took a 3-0 win at home to Mazıdağı Fosfatspor and Rizespor a 3-4 defeat at home to Trabzonspor.
How many goals are expected in Kocaelispor vs Rizespor?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 0.80 for Kocaelispor and 1.40 for Rizespor. It rates over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 62%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists eight players unavailable for Kocaelispor and four for Rizespor at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.