Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa match summary and prediction — Süper Lig
There is barely anything between Gaziantep FK and Kasımpaşa on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Gaziantep FK face Kasımpaşa on 6 November 2026 at Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep. Gaziantep FK are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 41%. This matchday 11 fixture in Süper Lig is listed as Gaziantep FK - Kasımpaşa. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Gaziantep FK: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (13 scored and 18 conceded in ten matches, 1.3 and 1.8 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 23.0 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -8.
Kasımpaşa: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (19 scored and 28 conceded in 17 matches, 1.12 and 1.65 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.7 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +4.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Gaziantep FK | Kasımpaşa |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 5th |
| Goal difference | -8 | +4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLLL | DWWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 10 | 11 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 10 | 17 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.3 / 1.8 | 1.12 / 1.65 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.8 | 1.12 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 23.0 | 52.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 41% | 38% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Gaziantep FK 23.0 versus Kasımpaşa 52.7, a gap of 29.7, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.60, over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Gaziantep FK's way at 49%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Gaziantep FK is the nominal pick at 41%, but the three results sit close to even. Kasımpaşa's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Gaziantep FK's way, especially at Gaziantep Stadyumu.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Gaziantep FK or Kasımpaşa?
Gaziantep FK, with an implied win probability of roughly 41%. The full split is 41% Gaziantep FK, 21% the draw and 38% Kasımpaşa.
When and where is Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa being played?
6 November 2026 at Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Gaziantep FK and Kasımpaşa met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Gaziantep FK and Kasımpaşa?
Gaziantep FK have taken 3 points from their last five (LWLLL), Kasımpaşa 10 from theirs (DWWWL). Most recently Gaziantep FK took a 0-2 defeat away at Trabzonspor and Kasımpaşa a 2-2 draw at home to Beşiktaş.
How many goals are expected in Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.60 — 1.40 for Gaziantep FK and 2.20 for Kasımpaşa. It rates over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.