Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Rizespor the pick at 45% for Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Rizespor face Erzurumspor FK on 8 November 2026. Rizespor are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This matchday 11 fixture in Süper Lig is listed as Rizespor - Erzurumspor FK. Kick-off is 10:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Rizespor: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 25 conceded in 16 matches, 1.56 and 1.56 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 30.7 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -4.
Erzurumspor FK: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 8 conceded in eleven matches, 2.27 and 0.73 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.8 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -6.
Side by side
| Statistic | Rizespor | Erzurumspor FK |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 11th |
| Goal difference | -4 | -6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLLLW | LWWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 9 | 7 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 16 | 11 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.56 / 1.56 | 2.27 / 0.73 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.44 | 2.18 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 30.7 | 56.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 31% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Rizespor 30.7 versus Erzurumspor FK 56.8, a gap of 26.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Rizespor's way at 54%.
The call
The model tilts to Rizespor at 45%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Erzurumspor FK's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Rizespor or Erzurumspor FK?
Rizespor, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% Rizespor, 23% the draw and 31% Erzurumspor FK.
When and where is Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK being played?
8 November 2026, kick-off 10:30 UTC.
Have Rizespor and Erzurumspor FK met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Rizespor and Erzurumspor FK?
Rizespor have taken 4 points from their last five (DLLLW), Erzurumspor FK 10 from theirs (LWWDW). Most recently Rizespor took a 0-0 draw away at Kocaelispor and Erzurumspor FK a 1-3 defeat at home to Çorum FK.
How many goals are expected in Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.40 for Rizespor and 1.60 for Erzurumspor FK. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.