Le Havre W vs Lens W — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Le Havre W the pick at 45% for Le Havre W vs Lens W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Lens W travel to Le Havre W on 24 October 2026 at Stade Océane, Le Havre. Le Havre W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This matchday 6 fixture in Feminine Division 1 is listed as Le Havre W - Lens W. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Le Havre W: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded eleven, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.1 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of -5.
Lens W: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored five and conceded 13, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 26.3 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -8.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Le Havre W | Lens W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 11th |
| Goal difference | -5 | -8 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWLWL | LLDLL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 1 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 11 | 5 / 13 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 47.1 | 26.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 29% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Le Havre W 47.1 versus Lens W 26.3, a gap of 20.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Le Havre W's way at 54%.
The call
The model tilts to Le Havre W at 45%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Le Havre W's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Le Havre W's way, especially at Stade Océane.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Le Havre W or Lens W?
Le Havre W, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% Le Havre W, 26% the draw and 29% Lens W.
When and where is Le Havre W vs Lens W being played?
24 October 2026 at Stade Océane, Le Havre, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have Le Havre W and Lens W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Le Havre W and Lens W?
Le Havre W have taken 7 points from their last five (DWLWL), Lens W 1 from theirs (LLDLL). Most recently Le Havre W took a 1-1 draw away at Montpellier W and Lens W a 1-3 defeat at home to Strasbourg W.
How many goals are expected in Le Havre W vs Lens W?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Le Havre W and 1.35 for Lens W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.