Lens W vs FC Fleury 91 W: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Lens W the pick at 40% for Lens W vs FC Fleury 91 W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Lens W face FC Fleury 91 W on 31 October 2026 at Degouve-Brabant Stadium, Arras. Lens W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This matchday 7 fixture in Feminine Division 1 is listed as Lens W - FC Fleury 91 W. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Lens W: they come in on the back of a draw, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored five and conceded eleven, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 29.7 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -8.
FC Fleury 91 W: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and one defeat from the last four, worth 5 points. Across those four they scored six and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.2 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -6.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Lens W | FC Fleury 91 W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 9th |
| Goal difference | -8 | -6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLLDL | DLWD |
| Points from last 5 | 2 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 11 | 6 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 29.7 | 40.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 40% | 31% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Lens W 29.7 versus FC Fleury 91 W 40.2, a gap of 10.5, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Lens W's way at 51%.
The call
The model edges towards Lens W at 40%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. FC Fleury 91 W's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Lens W's way, especially at Degouve-Brabant Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Lens W or FC Fleury 91 W?
Lens W, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 40% Lens W, 29% the draw and 31% FC Fleury 91 W.
When and where is Lens W vs FC Fleury 91 W being played?
31 October 2026 at Degouve-Brabant Stadium, Arras, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Lens W and FC Fleury 91 W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Lens W and FC Fleury 91 W?
Lens W have taken 2 points from their last five (DLLDL), FC Fleury 91 W 5 from theirs (DLWD). Most recently Lens W took a 0-0 draw away at Le Havre W and FC Fleury 91 W a 2-2 draw away at Marseille W.
How many goals are expected in Lens W vs FC Fleury 91 W?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 0.00 for Lens W and 2.00 for FC Fleury 91 W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.