Lens W vs Lyon W: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Lyon W the pick at 62% for Lens W vs Lyon W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Lens W host Lyon W on 7 November 2026 at Degouve-Brabant Stadium, Arras. Lyon W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 62%. This matchday 8 fixture in Feminine Division 1 is listed as Lens W - Lyon W. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Lens W: they come in on two successive draws, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored five and conceded ten, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 33.0 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -8.
Lyon W: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored 25 and conceded two, with four clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 84.0 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +36.
Side by side
| Statistic | Lens W | Lyon W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 1st |
| Goal difference | -8 | +36 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDLLD | WWWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 15 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 10 | 25 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 4 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 33.0 | 84.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 15% | 62% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Lens W 33.0 versus Lyon W 84.0, a gap of 51.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.30, over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 66%.
- First goal: Leans Lyon W's way at 67%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Lyon W at 62%, a gap of 40 percentage points to the next outcome. Lyon W's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Lens W or Lyon W?
Lyon W, with an implied win probability of roughly 62%. The full split is 15% Lens W, 23% the draw and 62% Lyon W.
When and where is Lens W vs Lyon W being played?
7 November 2026 at Degouve-Brabant Stadium, Arras, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have Lens W and Lyon W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Lens W and Lyon W?
Lens W have taken 3 points from their last five (DDLLD), Lyon W 15 from theirs (WWWWW). Most recently Lens W took a 1-1 draw at home to FC Fleury 91 W and Lyon W a 5-2 win away at Montpellier W.
How many goals are expected in Lens W vs Lyon W?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.30 — 0.50 for Lens W and 3.80 for Lyon W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 66%, so its call is yes.