Bandırmaspor vs Iğdır FK — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Bandırmaspor the pick at 55% for Bandırmaspor vs Iğdır FK. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Iğdır FK travel to Bandırmaspor on 24 October 2026 at 17 Eylül Stadium, Balikesir. Bandırmaspor are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 55%. This matchday 12 fixture in 1. Lig is listed as Bandırmaspor - Iğdır FK. Kick-off is 10:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Bandırmaspor: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (16 scored and 12 conceded in 16 matches, 1.0 and 0.75 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 43.7 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of +8.
Iğdır FK: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two draws before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (16 scored and 18 conceded in eleven matches, 1.45 and 1.64 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 63.4 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +7.
Side by side
| Statistic | Bandırmaspor | Iğdır FK |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | +8 | +7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWLD | WDWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 11 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 5 | 6 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 16 | 11 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.0 / 0.75 | 1.45 / 1.64 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.56 | 0.82 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 43.7 | 63.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 55% | 21% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Bandırmaspor 43.7 versus Iğdır FK 63.4, a gap of 19.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.20, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Bandırmaspor's way at 58%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Bandırmaspor at 55%, a gap of 31 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Bandırmaspor's way, especially at 17 Eylül Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Bandırmaspor or Iğdır FK?
Bandırmaspor, with an implied win probability of roughly 55%. The full split is 55% Bandırmaspor, 24% the draw and 21% Iğdır FK.
When and where is Bandırmaspor vs Iğdır FK being played?
24 October 2026 at 17 Eylül Stadium, Balikesir, kick-off 10:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Bandırmaspor and Iğdır FK?
Bandırmaspor 0-0 Iğdır FK on 16 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Bandırmaspor and Iğdır FK?
Bandırmaspor have taken 5 points from their last five (LDWLD), Iğdır FK 11 from theirs (WDWDW). Most recently Bandırmaspor took a 1-2 defeat away at Bodrum FK and Iğdır FK a 1-0 win at home to Boluspor.
How many goals are expected in Bandırmaspor vs Iğdır FK?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.20 — 2.20 for Bandırmaspor and 2.00 for Iğdır FK. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.