Boluspor vs Vanspor FK: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Boluspor the pick at 73% for Boluspor vs Vanspor FK. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Boluspor face Vanspor FK on 23 October 2026. Boluspor are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 73%. This matchday 12 fixture in 1. Lig is listed as Boluspor - Vanspor FK. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Boluspor: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 35 conceded in 19 matches, 1.47 and 1.84 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 23.6 out of 100, and they sit 20th on a goal difference of -19.
Vanspor FK: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (10 scored and 12 conceded in six matches, 1.67 and 2.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.3 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -12.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Boluspor | Vanspor FK |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 20th | 18th |
| Goal difference | -19 | -12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLLL | LWLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 2 / 7 | 3 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 19 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.47 / 1.84 | 1.67 / 2.0 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.16 | 1.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 23.6 | 35.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 73% | 4% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Boluspor 23.6 versus Vanspor FK 35.3, a gap of 11.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.85, over 2.5 goals at 74% and both teams to score at 34%.
- First goal: Leans Boluspor's way at 77%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Boluspor at 73%, a gap of 51 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Boluspor or Vanspor FK?
Boluspor, with an implied win probability of roughly 73%. The full split is 73% Boluspor, 23% the draw and 4% Vanspor FK.
When and where is Boluspor vs Vanspor FK being played?
23 October 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Boluspor and Vanspor FK met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Boluspor and Vanspor FK?
Boluspor have taken 3 points from their last five (LWLLL), Vanspor FK 4 from theirs (LWLLD). Most recently Boluspor took a 0-1 defeat away at Iğdır FK and Vanspor FK a 0-2 defeat at home to Ümraniyespor.
How many goals are expected in Boluspor vs Vanspor FK?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.85 — 1.60 for Boluspor and 2.25 for Vanspor FK. It rates over 2.5 goals at 74%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 34%, so its call is no.