Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K. — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between Mardin 1969 and Manisa F.K. on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Manisa F.K. travel to Mardin 1969 on 26 October 2026. Manisa F.K. are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This matchday 12 fixture in 1. Lig is listed as Mardin 1969 - Manisa F.K. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Mardin 1969: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Across those five they scored five and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 46.0 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +4.
Manisa F.K.: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored seven and conceded ten, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 31.2 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -2.
Side by side
| Statistic | Mardin 1969 | Manisa F.K. |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 16th |
| Goal difference | +4 | -2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWLL | LDLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 2 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 7 | 7 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 46.0 | 31.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 33% | 38% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Mardin 1969 46.0 versus Manisa F.K. 31.2, a gap of 14.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.95, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Manisa F.K.'s way at 51%.
The call
The model does not commit. Manisa F.K. is the nominal pick at 38%, but the three results sit close to even. Mardin 1969's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Mardin 1969 or Manisa F.K.?
Manisa F.K., with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 33% Mardin 1969, 29% the draw and 38% Manisa F.K.
When and where is Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K. being played?
26 October 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Mardin 1969 and Manisa F.K. met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Mardin 1969 and Manisa F.K.?
Mardin 1969 have taken 6 points from their last five (LWWLL), Manisa F.K. 2 from theirs (LDLLD). Most recently Mardin 1969 took a 2-4 defeat away at Esenler Erokspor and Manisa F.K. a 3-4 defeat at home to Muğlaspor.
How many goals are expected in Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K.?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.95 — 0.75 for Mardin 1969 and 2.20 for Manisa F.K. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.