Muğlaspor vs İstanbulspor — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Muğlaspor the pick at 42% for Muğlaspor vs İstanbulspor. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Muğlaspor host İstanbulspor on 24 October 2026 at Mugla Ataturk Stadyumu, Mugla/Marmaris. Muğlaspor are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 42%. This matchday 12 fixture in 1. Lig is listed as Muğlaspor - İstanbulspor. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Muğlaspor: they come in on the back of a win, following three draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. Across those five they scored eight and conceded ten, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.8 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -1.
İstanbulspor: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one win and one defeat before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored three and conceded eleven, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 30.8 out of 100, and they sit 19th on a goal difference of -17.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Muğlaspor | İstanbulspor |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 19th |
| Goal difference | -1 | -17 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLDDD | LLLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 10 | 3 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 44.8 | 30.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 42% | 26% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Muğlaspor 44.8 versus İstanbulspor 30.8, a gap of 14.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.53, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Muğlaspor's way at 48%.
The call
The model edges towards Muğlaspor at 42%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Muğlaspor's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Muğlaspor's way, especially at Mugla Ataturk Stadyumu.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Muğlaspor or İstanbulspor?
Muğlaspor, with an implied win probability of roughly 42%. The full split is 42% Muğlaspor, 32% the draw and 26% İstanbulspor.
When and where is Muğlaspor vs İstanbulspor being played?
24 October 2026 at Mugla Ataturk Stadyumu, Mugla/Marmaris, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have Muğlaspor and İstanbulspor met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Muğlaspor and İstanbulspor?
Muğlaspor have taken 6 points from their last five (WLDDD), İstanbulspor 3 from theirs (LLLWL). Most recently Muğlaspor took a 4-3 win away at Manisa F.K. and İstanbulspor a 0-2 defeat at home to Antalyaspor.
How many goals are expected in Muğlaspor vs İstanbulspor?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.53 — 1.33 for Muğlaspor and 0.20 for İstanbulspor. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.