Bodrum FK vs Ümraniyespor match summary and prediction — 1. Lig
There is barely anything between Bodrum FK and Ümraniyespor on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Ümraniyespor travel to Bodrum FK on 1 November 2026 at Bodrum Ilce Stadi, Bodrum. Bodrum FK are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 35%. This matchday 13 fixture in 1. Lig is listed as Bodrum FK - Ümraniyespor. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Bodrum FK: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (19 scored and 13 conceded in 14 matches, 1.36 and 0.93 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 59.3 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of +4.
Ümraniyespor: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (27 scored and 21 conceded in 18 matches, 1.5 and 1.17 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 59.1 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of +3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Bodrum FK | Ümraniyespor |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 14th |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWLD | WWWLD |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 6 | 9 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 14 | 18 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.36 / 0.93 | 1.5 / 1.17 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.79 | 1.39 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 59.3 | 59.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 35% | 34% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Ümraniyespor's way at 47%.
The call
The model does not commit. Bodrum FK is the nominal pick at 35%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Bodrum FK's way, especially at Bodrum Ilce Stadi.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Bodrum FK or Ümraniyespor?
Bodrum FK, with an implied win probability of roughly 35%. The full split is 35% Bodrum FK, 31% the draw and 34% Ümraniyespor.
When and where is Bodrum FK vs Ümraniyespor being played?
1 November 2026 at Bodrum Ilce Stadi, Bodrum, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Bodrum FK and Ümraniyespor?
Bodrum FK 1-0 Ümraniyespor on 03 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Bodrum FK and Ümraniyespor?
Bodrum FK have taken 10 points from their last five (WWWLD), Ümraniyespor 10 from theirs (WWWLD). Most recently Bodrum FK took a 2-1 win away at Antalyaspor and Ümraniyespor a 2-1 win at home to Küçükçekmece Sinopspor.
How many goals are expected in Bodrum FK vs Ümraniyespor?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.20 for Bodrum FK and 1.40 for Ümraniyespor. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.