Bursaspor vs Bandırmaspor — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Bursaspor the pick at 46% for Bursaspor vs Bandırmaspor. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Bursaspor host Bandırmaspor on 31 October 2026 at Bursa Büyükşehir Stadyumu, Bursa. Bursaspor are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This matchday 13 fixture in 1. Lig is listed as Bursaspor - Bandırmaspor. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Bursaspor: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one win and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored twelve and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 68.8 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +15.
Bandırmaspor: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored five and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.1 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of +7.
Side by side
| Statistic | Bursaspor | Bandırmaspor |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 13th |
| Goal difference | +15 | +7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWLW | LLDWL |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 12 / 5 | 5 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 68.8 | 40.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 31% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Bursaspor 68.8 versus Bandırmaspor 40.1, a gap of 28.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Twelve places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 5.00, over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 62%.
- First goal: Leans Bursaspor's way at 50%.
The call
The model tilts to Bursaspor at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Bursaspor's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Bursaspor's way, especially at Bursa Büyükşehir Stadyumu.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Bursaspor or Bandırmaspor?
Bursaspor, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Bursaspor, 23% the draw and 31% Bandırmaspor.
When and where is Bursaspor vs Bandırmaspor being played?
31 October 2026 at Bursa Büyükşehir Stadyumu, Bursa, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have Bursaspor and Bandırmaspor met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Bursaspor and Bandırmaspor?
Bursaspor have taken 12 points from their last five (WWWLW), Bandırmaspor 4 from theirs (LLDWL). Most recently Bursaspor took a 4-2 win away at Keçiörengücü and Bandırmaspor a 1-2 defeat at home to Iğdır FK.
How many goals are expected in Bursaspor vs Bandırmaspor?
The model's combined scoring line is 5.00 — 2.80 for Bursaspor and 2.20 for Bandırmaspor. It rates over 2.5 goals at 66%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 62%, so its call is yes.