Esenler Erokspor vs Keçiörengücü: match summary, form and prediction
There is barely anything between Esenler Erokspor and Keçiörengücü on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Keçiörengücü travel to Esenler Erokspor on 30 October 2026 at Esenler Stadium, Istanbul. Keçiörengücü are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 39%. This matchday 13 fixture in 1. Lig is listed as Esenler Erokspor - Keçiörengücü. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Esenler Erokspor: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (16 scored and 15 conceded in twelve matches, 1.33 and 1.25 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.3 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -4.
Keçiörengücü: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (38 scored and 20 conceded in 19 matches, 2.0 and 1.05 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 53.7 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +8.
Side by side
| Statistic | Esenler Erokspor | Keçiörengücü |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 5th |
| Goal difference | -4 | +8 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWDWL | LWDWW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 8 | 7 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 12 | 19 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.33 / 1.25 | 2.0 / 1.05 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.5 | 1.74 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 47.3 | 53.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 34% | 39% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Esenler Erokspor 47.3 versus Keçiörengücü 53.7, a gap of 6.3, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Keçiörengücü's way at 49%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Keçiörengücü is the nominal pick at 39%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Esenler Erokspor or Keçiörengücü?
Keçiörengücü, with an implied win probability of roughly 39%. The full split is 34% Esenler Erokspor, 27% the draw and 39% Keçiörengücü.
When and where is Esenler Erokspor vs Keçiörengücü being played?
30 October 2026 at Esenler Stadium, Istanbul, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Esenler Erokspor and Keçiörengücü?
Esenler Erokspor 1-0 Keçiörengücü on 19 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Esenler Erokspor and Keçiörengücü?
Esenler Erokspor have taken 7 points from their last five (LWDWL), Keçiörengücü 10 from theirs (LWDWW). Most recently Esenler Erokspor took a 2-3 defeat away at Batman Petrolspor and Keçiörengücü a 2-4 defeat at home to Bursaspor.
How many goals are expected in Esenler Erokspor vs Keçiörengücü?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 0.80 for Esenler Erokspor and 2.20 for Keçiörengücü. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.