Fatih Karagümrük vs Pendikspor: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Fatih Karagümrük the pick at 48% for Fatih Karagümrük vs Pendikspor. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Fatih Karagümrük face Pendikspor on 31 October 2026 at Atatürk Olympic Stadium, Istanbul. Fatih Karagümrük are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This matchday 13 fixture in 1. Lig is listed as Fatih Karagümrük - Pendikspor. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Fatih Karagümrük: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (16 scored and 22 conceded in 16 matches, 1.0 and 1.38 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.6 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of +1.
Pendikspor: they come in on the back of a draw, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 18 conceded in 16 matches, 1.12 and 1.12 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 29.4 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -9.
Side by side
| Statistic | Fatih Karagümrük | Pendikspor |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 16th |
| Goal difference | +1 | -9 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWLLD | DLLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 4 | 7 / 13 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 16 | 16 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.0 / 1.38 | 1.12 / 1.12 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.25 | 1.19 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 48.6 | 29.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 48% | 28% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Fatih Karagümrük 48.6 versus Pendikspor 29.4, a gap of 19.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Fatih Karagümrük's way at 55%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Fatih Karagümrük at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Fatih Karagümrük's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Fatih Karagümrük's way, especially at Atatürk Olympic Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Fatih Karagümrük or Pendikspor?
Fatih Karagümrük, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 48% Fatih Karagümrük, 24% the draw and 28% Pendikspor.
When and where is Fatih Karagümrük vs Pendikspor being played?
31 October 2026 at Atatürk Olympic Stadium, Istanbul, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have Fatih Karagümrük and Pendikspor met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Fatih Karagümrük and Pendikspor?
Fatih Karagümrük have taken 5 points from their last five (DWLLD), Pendikspor 2 from theirs (DLLLD). Most recently Fatih Karagümrük took a 0-0 draw at home to Somaspor and Pendikspor a 2-2 draw at home to Kayserispor.
How many goals are expected in Fatih Karagümrük vs Pendikspor?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.40 for Fatih Karagümrük and 1.20 for Pendikspor. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.