Kayserispor vs Muğlaspor: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Kayserispor the pick at 63% for Kayserispor vs Muğlaspor. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Kayserispor host Muğlaspor on 2 November 2026 at RHG Enertürk Enerji Stadium, Kayseri. Kayserispor are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 63%. This matchday 13 fixture in 1. Lig is listed as Kayserispor - Muğlaspor. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Kayserispor: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored twelve and conceded ten, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 65.9 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +17.
Muğlaspor: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Across those five they scored twelve and conceded nine, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.7 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +4.
Side by side
| Statistic | Kayserispor | Muğlaspor |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 7th |
| Goal difference | +17 | +4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDDWW | WWLDD |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 12 / 10 | 12 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 65.9 | 52.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 63% | 18% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Kayserispor 65.9 versus Muğlaspor 52.7, a gap of 13.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.65, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Kayserispor's way at 62%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Kayserispor at 63%, a gap of 43 percentage points to the next outcome. Muğlaspor's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Kayserispor's way, especially at RHG Enertürk Enerji Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Kayserispor or Muğlaspor?
Kayserispor, with an implied win probability of roughly 63%. The full split is 63% Kayserispor, 19% the draw and 18% Muğlaspor.
When and where is Kayserispor vs Muğlaspor being played?
2 November 2026 at RHG Enertürk Enerji Stadium, Kayseri, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Kayserispor and Muğlaspor met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Kayserispor and Muğlaspor?
Kayserispor have taken 8 points from their last five (LDDWW), Muğlaspor 8 from theirs (WWLDD). Most recently Kayserispor took a 1-4 defeat away at Bitlis Özgüzelderespor and Muğlaspor a 5-0 win at home to İstanbulspor.
How many goals are expected in Kayserispor vs Muğlaspor?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.65 — 2.40 for Kayserispor and 2.25 for Muğlaspor. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.