Vanspor FK vs Sarıyer: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Vanspor FK the pick at 44% for Vanspor FK vs Sarıyer. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Vanspor FK face Sarıyer on 31 October 2026 at Van Ataturk Stadi, Van. Vanspor FK are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 44%. This matchday 13 fixture in 1. Lig is listed as Vanspor FK - Sarıyer. Kick-off is 10:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Vanspor FK: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (10 scored and 12 conceded in six matches, 1.67 and 2.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 42.8 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -9.
Sarıyer: they come in on the back of a win, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (23 scored and 17 conceded in 16 matches, 1.44 and 1.06 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.9 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Vanspor FK | Sarıyer |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 18th | 11th |
| Goal difference | -9 | -3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLWL | WLDLD |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 7 | 4 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 6 | 16 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.67 / 2.0 | 1.44 / 1.06 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.0 | 1.56 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 42.8 | 40.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 44% | 30% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Vanspor FK 42.8 versus Sarıyer 40.9, a gap of 1.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 50%.
- First goal: Leans Vanspor FK's way at 50%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Vanspor FK at 44%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Vanspor FK's way, especially at Van Ataturk Stadi.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Vanspor FK or Sarıyer?
Vanspor FK, with an implied win probability of roughly 44%. The full split is 44% Vanspor FK, 26% the draw and 30% Sarıyer.
When and where is Vanspor FK vs Sarıyer being played?
31 October 2026 at Van Ataturk Stadi, Van, kick-off 10:30 UTC.
Have Vanspor FK and Sarıyer met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Vanspor FK and Sarıyer?
Vanspor FK have taken 6 points from their last five (LWLWL), Sarıyer 5 from theirs (WLDLD). Most recently Vanspor FK took a 0-2 defeat away at Orduspor 1967 and Sarıyer a 1-0 win at home to Ayvalikgucu.
How many goals are expected in Vanspor FK vs Sarıyer?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 1.20 for Vanspor FK and 0.80 for Sarıyer. It rates over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 50%, so its call is yes.