Antalyaspor vs Bursaspor: match summary, form and prediction
There is barely anything between Antalyaspor and Bursaspor on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Antalyaspor host Bursaspor on 6 November 2026 at Corendon Airlines Park, Antalya. Antalyaspor are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This matchday 14 fixture in 1. Lig is listed as Antalyaspor - Bursaspor. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Antalyaspor: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 9 conceded in seven matches, 1.71 and 1.29 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.1 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of -1.
Bursaspor: they come in on a four-match winning sequence, following one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (17 scored and 5 conceded in six matches, 2.83 and 0.83 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 69.5 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +18.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Antalyaspor | Bursaspor |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 1st |
| Goal difference | -1 | +18 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWLWL | WWWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 7 | 13 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.71 / 1.29 | 2.83 / 0.83 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.86 | 2.67 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 48.1 | 69.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 40% | 37% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Antalyaspor 48.1 versus Bursaspor 69.5, a gap of 21.4, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.40, over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Bursaspor's way at 48%.
The call
The model does not commit. Antalyaspor is the nominal pick at 40%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Antalyaspor's way, especially at Corendon Airlines Park.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Antalyaspor or Bursaspor?
Antalyaspor, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 40% Antalyaspor, 23% the draw and 37% Bursaspor.
When and where is Antalyaspor vs Bursaspor being played?
6 November 2026 at Corendon Airlines Park, Antalya, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Antalyaspor and Bursaspor met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Antalyaspor and Bursaspor?
Antalyaspor have taken 7 points from their last five (DWLWL), Bursaspor 12 from theirs (WWWWL). Most recently Antalyaspor took a 1-1 draw away at Iğdır FK and Bursaspor a 3-0 win at home to Bandırmaspor.
How many goals are expected in Antalyaspor vs Bursaspor?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.40 — 1.40 for Antalyaspor and 3.00 for Bursaspor. It rates over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.