Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Bandırmaspor the pick at 60% for Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Fatih Karagümrük travel to Bandırmaspor on 8 November 2026. Bandırmaspor are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 60%. This matchday 14 fixture in 1. Lig is listed as Bandırmaspor - Fatih Karagümrük. Kick-off is 10:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Bandırmaspor: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one win and one draw before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 7 conceded in six matches, 1.83 and 1.17 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 39.3 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of +4.
Fatih Karagümrük: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (7 scored and 9 conceded in six matches, 1.17 and 1.5 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.3 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of 0.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Bandırmaspor | Fatih Karagümrük |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 10th |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLDW | LDWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 8 | 3 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.83 / 1.17 | 1.17 / 1.5 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.17 | 0.83 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 39.3 | 38.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 60% | 21% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Bandırmaspor 39.3 versus Fatih Karagümrük 38.3, a gap of 1.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Bandırmaspor's way at 59%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Bandırmaspor at 60%, a gap of 39 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Bandırmaspor or Fatih Karagümrük?
Bandırmaspor, with an implied win probability of roughly 60%. The full split is 60% Bandırmaspor, 20% the draw and 21% Fatih Karagümrük.
When and where is Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük being played?
8 November 2026, kick-off 10:30 UTC.
Have Bandırmaspor and Fatih Karagümrük met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Bandırmaspor and Fatih Karagümrük?
Bandırmaspor have taken 4 points from their last five (LLLDW), Fatih Karagümrük 4 from theirs (LDWLL). Most recently Bandırmaspor took a 0-3 defeat away at Bursaspor and Fatih Karagümrük a 0-1 defeat at home to Pendikspor.
How many goals are expected in Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.60 for Bandırmaspor and 1.40 for Fatih Karagümrük. It rates over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.