Boluspor vs Bodrum FK match summary and prediction — 1. Lig
Our model makes Bodrum FK the pick at 41% for Boluspor vs Bodrum FK. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Boluspor face Bodrum FK on 8 November 2026. Bodrum FK are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 41%. This matchday 14 fixture in 1. Lig is listed as Boluspor - Bodrum FK. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Boluspor: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (4 scored and 16 conceded in seven matches, 0.57 and 2.29 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 29.8 out of 100, and they sit 20th on a goal difference of -21.
Bodrum FK: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (7 scored and 5 conceded in six matches, 1.17 and 0.83 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 59.3 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +4.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Boluspor | Bodrum FK |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 20th | 8th |
| Goal difference | -21 | +4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLLW | DWWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 8 | 9 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.57 / 2.29 | 1.17 / 0.83 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.57 | 1.33 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 29.8 | 59.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 32% | 41% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Boluspor 29.8 versus Bodrum FK 59.3, a gap of 29.6, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Twelve places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Bodrum FK's way at 47%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Bodrum FK at 41%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Boluspor or Bodrum FK?
Bodrum FK, with an implied win probability of roughly 41%. The full split is 32% Boluspor, 27% the draw and 41% Bodrum FK.
When and where is Boluspor vs Bodrum FK being played?
8 November 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Boluspor and Bodrum FK?
Bodrum FK 2-0 Boluspor on 16 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Boluspor and Bodrum FK?
Boluspor have taken 6 points from their last five (WLLLW), Bodrum FK 10 from theirs (DWWWL). Most recently Boluspor took a 2-1 win away at Sivasspor and Bodrum FK a 1-1 draw at home to Ümraniyespor.
How many goals are expected in Boluspor vs Bodrum FK?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 0.60 for Boluspor and 1.40 for Bodrum FK. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.