Keçiörengücü vs Manisa F.K.: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Keçiörengücü the pick at 53% for Keçiörengücü vs Manisa F.K. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Manisa F.K. travel to Keçiörengücü on 7 November 2026 at Aktepe Stadium, Ankara. Keçiörengücü are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 53%. This matchday 14 fixture in 1. Lig is listed as Keçiörengücü - Manisa F.K. Kick-off is 10:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Keçiörengücü: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (13 scored and 12 conceded in six matches, 2.17 and 2.0 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 50.1 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +7.
Manisa F.K.: they come in on the back of a win, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 11 conceded in six matches, 1.5 and 1.83 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.8 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -2.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Keçiörengücü | Manisa F.K. |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 16th |
| Goal difference | +7 | -2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWDW | WLLDL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 8 | 9 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 2.17 / 2.0 | 1.5 / 1.83 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 50.1 | 37.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 53% | 22% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Keçiörengücü 50.1 versus Manisa F.K. 37.8, a gap of 12.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.40, over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Keçiörengücü's way at 59%.
The call
The model tilts to Keçiörengücü at 53%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Keçiörengücü's way, especially at Aktepe Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Keçiörengücü or Manisa F.K.?
Keçiörengücü, with an implied win probability of roughly 53%. The full split is 53% Keçiörengücü, 25% the draw and 22% Manisa F.K.
When and where is Keçiörengücü vs Manisa F.K. being played?
7 November 2026 at Aktepe Stadium, Ankara, kick-off 10:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Keçiörengücü and Manisa F.K.?
Keçiörengücü 2-1 Manisa F.K. on 26 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Keçiörengücü and Manisa F.K.?
Keçiörengücü have taken 7 points from their last five (LLWDW), Manisa F.K. 4 from theirs (WLLDL). Most recently Keçiörengücü took a 2-3 defeat away at Esenler Erokspor and Manisa F.K. a 2-1 win at home to Batman Petrolspor.
How many goals are expected in Keçiörengücü vs Manisa F.K.?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.40 — 2.00 for Keçiörengücü and 1.40 for Manisa F.K. It rates over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.