Muğlaspor vs Esenler Erokspor — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Muğlaspor the pick at 41% for Muğlaspor vs Esenler Erokspor. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Muğlaspor host Esenler Erokspor on 7 November 2026. Muğlaspor are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 41%. This matchday 14 fixture in 1. Lig is listed as Muğlaspor - Esenler Erokspor. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Muğlaspor: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored ten and conceded 13, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.8 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -2.
Esenler Erokspor: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Across those five they scored eleven and conceded eight, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 57.6 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Muğlaspor | Esenler Erokspor |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 12th |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWLD | WLWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 13 | 11 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 47.8 | 57.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 41% | 33% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Muğlaspor 47.8 versus Esenler Erokspor 57.6, a gap of 9.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Esenler Erokspor's way at 50%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Muğlaspor at 41%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Muğlaspor or Esenler Erokspor?
Muğlaspor, with an implied win probability of roughly 41%. The full split is 41% Muğlaspor, 26% the draw and 33% Esenler Erokspor.
When and where is Muğlaspor vs Esenler Erokspor being played?
7 November 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have Muğlaspor and Esenler Erokspor met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Muğlaspor and Esenler Erokspor?
Muğlaspor have taken 7 points from their last five (LWWLD), Esenler Erokspor 10 from theirs (WLWDW). Most recently Muğlaspor took a 0-6 defeat away at Kayserispor and Esenler Erokspor a 3-2 win at home to Keçiörengücü.
How many goals are expected in Muğlaspor vs Esenler Erokspor?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 1.80 for Muğlaspor and 1.40 for Esenler Erokspor. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.