Ümraniyespor vs Kayserispor: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Kayserispor the pick at 40% for Ümraniyespor vs Kayserispor. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Ümraniyespor face Kayserispor on 8 November 2026. Kayserispor are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This matchday 14 fixture in 1. Lig is listed as Ümraniyespor - Kayserispor. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Ümraniyespor: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 5 conceded in seven matches, 1.14 and 0.71 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.4 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of +3.
Kayserispor: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 5 conceded in seven matches, 2.86 and 0.71 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 67.4 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +23.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Ümraniyespor | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | +3 | +23 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWWWL | WLDDW |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 3 | 15 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.14 / 0.71 | 2.86 / 0.71 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.14 | 2.14 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 52.4 | 67.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 33% | 40% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Ümraniyespor 52.4 versus Kayserispor 67.4, a gap of 15.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Twelve places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 5.00, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Kayserispor's way at 52%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Kayserispor at 40%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Ümraniyespor or Kayserispor?
Kayserispor, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 33% Ümraniyespor, 27% the draw and 40% Kayserispor.
When and where is Ümraniyespor vs Kayserispor being played?
8 November 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have Ümraniyespor and Kayserispor met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Ümraniyespor and Kayserispor?
Ümraniyespor have taken 10 points from their last five (DWWWL), Kayserispor 8 from theirs (WLDDW). Most recently Ümraniyespor took a 1-1 draw away at Bodrum FK and Kayserispor a 6-0 win at home to Muğlaspor.
How many goals are expected in Ümraniyespor vs Kayserispor?
The model's combined scoring line is 5.00 — 1.60 for Ümraniyespor and 3.40 for Kayserispor. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.