New Zealand vs India match summary and prediction — Friendlies
Our model makes India the pick at 42% for New Zealand vs India. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
India travel to New Zealand on 12 November 2026 at Go Media Stadium, Auckland. India are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 42%. This friendly international fixture in Friendlies is listed as New Zealand - India. Kick-off is 06:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
New Zealand: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and two draws before that. That is one win, two draws and one defeat from the last four, worth 5 points. Across those four they scored seven and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
India: they come in on the back of a win, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded 14, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | New Zealand | India |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWD | WLLDD |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 5 | 6 / 14 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 30% | 42% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.47, over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans India's way at 49%.
The call
The model edges towards India at 42%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: New Zealand or India?
India, with an implied win probability of roughly 42%. The full split is 30% New Zealand, 28% the draw and 42% India.
When and where is New Zealand vs India being played?
12 November 2026 at Go Media Stadium, Auckland, kick-off 06:00 UTC.
Have New Zealand and India met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of New Zealand and India?
New Zealand have taken 5 points from their last four (LDWD), India 5 from theirs (WLLDD). Most recently New Zealand took a 1-2 defeat away at Japan and India a 3-2 win away at Pakistan.
How many goals are expected in New Zealand vs India?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.47 — 0.80 for New Zealand and 0.67 for India. It rates over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.