Crewe vs Wigan match summary and prediction — EFL Trophy
Our model makes Crewe the pick at 44% for Crewe vs Wigan. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Crewe host Wigan on 10 November 2026 at Alexandra Stadium, Crewe. Crewe are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 44%. This group north 2 fixture in EFL Trophy is listed as Crewe - Wigan. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Crewe: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 11 conceded in six matches, 1.33 and 1.83 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Wigan: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 13 conceded in eight matches, 1.0 and 1.62 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Crewe | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLLWW | DWLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 10 | 5 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 8 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.33 / 1.83 | 1.0 / 1.62 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.17 | 1.12 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 44% | 30% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans Crewe's way at 52%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Crewe at 44%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Crewe's way, especially at Alexandra Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Crewe or Wigan?
Crewe, with an implied win probability of roughly 44%. The full split is 44% Crewe, 25% the draw and 30% Wigan.
When and where is Crewe vs Wigan being played?
10 November 2026 at Alexandra Stadium, Crewe, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Crewe and Wigan met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Crewe and Wigan?
Crewe have taken 7 points from their last five (DLLWW), Wigan 4 from theirs (DWLLL). Most recently Crewe took a 1-1 draw at home to Barnet and Wigan a 0-0 draw at home to Mansfield Town.
How many goals are expected in Crewe vs Wigan?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 1.20 for Crewe and 0.80 for Wigan. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.