Rotherham vs Newcastle United U21: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Rotherham the pick at 53% for Rotherham vs Newcastle United U21. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Rotherham face Newcastle United U21 on 3 November 2026 at Aesseal New York Stadium, Rotherham. Rotherham are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 53%. This group north 3 fixture in EFL Trophy is listed as Rotherham - Newcastle United U21. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Rotherham: they come in on two successive draws, following three defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored six and conceded 15, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Newcastle United U21: they come in on a four-match winning sequence, following one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those five they scored twelve and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Rotherham | Newcastle United U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDLLL | WWWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 2 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 15 | 12 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 53% | 30% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.60, over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Rotherham's way at 57%.
The call
The model tilts to Rotherham at 53%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Newcastle United U21's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Rotherham's way, especially at Aesseal New York Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Rotherham or Newcastle United U21?
Rotherham, with an implied win probability of roughly 53%. The full split is 53% Rotherham, 17% the draw and 30% Newcastle United U21.
When and where is Rotherham vs Newcastle United U21 being played?
3 November 2026 at Aesseal New York Stadium, Rotherham, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Rotherham and Newcastle United U21 met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Rotherham and Newcastle United U21?
Rotherham have taken 2 points from their last five (DDLLL), Newcastle United U21 12 from theirs (WWWWL). Most recently Rotherham took a 3-3 draw at home to Shrewsbury and Newcastle United U21 a 2-0 win at home to Peterborough United U21.
How many goals are expected in Rotherham vs Newcastle United U21?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.60 — 1.60 for Rotherham and 3.00 for Newcastle United U21. It rates over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.