Bradford vs York: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Bradford the pick at 61% for Bradford vs York. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Bradford face York on 10 November 2026 at Valley Parade, Bradford. Bradford are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 61%. This group north 3 fixture in EFL Trophy is listed as Bradford - York. Kick-off is 19:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Bradford: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (10 scored and 6 conceded in eight matches, 1.25 and 0.75 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
York: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win and two draws before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (13 scored and 17 conceded in eight matches, 1.62 and 2.12 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Bradford | York |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWDDW | LLWDD |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 3 | 7 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 4 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 8 | 8 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.25 / 0.75 | 1.62 / 2.12 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.0 | 0.88 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 61% | 21% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 63%.
- First goal: Leans Bradford's way at 62%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Bradford at 61%, a gap of 40 percentage points to the next outcome. Bradford's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Bradford's way, especially at Valley Parade.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Bradford or York?
Bradford, with an implied win probability of roughly 61%. The full split is 61% Bradford, 19% the draw and 21% York.
When and where is Bradford vs York being played?
10 November 2026 at Valley Parade, Bradford, kick-off 19:30 UTC.
Have Bradford and York met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Bradford and York?
Bradford have taken 8 points from their last five (LWDDW), York 5 from theirs (LLWDD). Most recently Bradford took a 0-3 defeat at home to Huddersfield and York a 2-5 defeat away at Grimsby.
How many goals are expected in Bradford vs York?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 1.20 for Bradford and 2.00 for York. It rates over 2.5 goals at 66%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 63%, so its call is yes.