Mansfield Town vs Chesterfield — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between Mansfield Town and Chesterfield on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Mansfield Town host Chesterfield on 10 November 2026 at One Call Stadium, Mansfield. Chesterfield are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 42%. This group north 4 fixture in EFL Trophy is listed as Mansfield Town - Chesterfield. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Mansfield Town: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (4 scored and 12 conceded in seven matches, 0.57 and 1.71 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Chesterfield: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (17 scored and 14 conceded in seven matches, 2.43 and 2.0 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Mansfield Town | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLWWD | LWDLD |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 4 | 9 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.57 / 1.71 | 2.43 / 2.0 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.71 | 1.57 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 37% | 42% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.00, over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 64%.
- First goal: Leans Chesterfield's way at 50%.
The call
The model does not commit. Chesterfield is the nominal pick at 42%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Mansfield Town or Chesterfield?
Chesterfield, with an implied win probability of roughly 42%. The full split is 37% Mansfield Town, 21% the draw and 42% Chesterfield.
When and where is Mansfield Town vs Chesterfield being played?
10 November 2026 at One Call Stadium, Mansfield, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Mansfield Town and Chesterfield met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Mansfield Town and Chesterfield?
Mansfield Town have taken 8 points from their last five (DLWWD), Chesterfield 5 from theirs (LWDLD). Most recently Mansfield Town took a 0-0 draw away at Wigan and Chesterfield a 1-4 defeat away at Newport County.
How many goals are expected in Mansfield Town vs Chesterfield?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.00 — 0.80 for Mansfield Town and 3.20 for Chesterfield. It rates over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 64%, so its call is yes.