Barnsley vs Oldham — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Barnsley the pick at 45% for Barnsley vs Oldham. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Barnsley face Oldham on 10 November 2026 at Oakwell, Barnsley. Barnsley are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This group north 7 fixture in EFL Trophy is listed as Barnsley - Oldham. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Barnsley: they come in on the back of a draw, following four defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 16 conceded in seven matches, 1.29 and 2.29 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Oldham: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (4 scored and 9 conceded in seven matches, 0.57 and 1.29 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Barnsley | Oldham |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLLLL | WLDLW |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 10 | 6 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.29 / 2.29 | 0.57 / 1.29 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.86 | 0.71 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 34% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.80, over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Barnsley's way at 52%.
The call
The model edges towards Barnsley at 45%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Oldham's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Barnsley's way, especially at Oakwell.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Barnsley or Oldham?
Barnsley, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% Barnsley, 22% the draw and 34% Oldham.
When and where is Barnsley vs Oldham being played?
10 November 2026 at Oakwell, Barnsley, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Barnsley and Oldham met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Barnsley and Oldham?
Barnsley have taken 1 points from their last five (DLLLL), Oldham 7 from theirs (WLDLW). Most recently Barnsley took a 1-1 draw at home to Oxford United and Oldham a 1-0 win away at Northampton.
How many goals are expected in Barnsley vs Oldham?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.80 — 1.20 for Barnsley and 0.60 for Oldham. It rates over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.