Leicester vs Walsall match summary and prediction — EFL Trophy
Our model makes Leicester the pick at 57% for Leicester vs Walsall. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Leicester host Walsall on 10 November 2026 at King Power Stadium, Leicester. Leicester are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 57%. This group south 2 fixture in EFL Trophy is listed as Leicester - Walsall. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Leicester: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (13 scored and 11 conceded in seven matches, 1.86 and 1.57 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Walsall: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 7 conceded in six matches, 1.33 and 1.17 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Leicester | Walsall |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWLWW | WLWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 12 / 5 | 12 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.86 / 1.57 | 1.33 / 1.17 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.86 | 1.5 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 57% | 24% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.40, over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 63%.
- First goal: Leans Leicester's way at 56%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Leicester at 57%, a gap of 34 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Leicester's way, especially at King Power Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Leicester or Walsall?
Leicester, with an implied win probability of roughly 57%. The full split is 57% Leicester, 19% the draw and 24% Walsall.
When and where is Leicester vs Walsall being played?
10 November 2026 at King Power Stadium, Leicester, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Leicester and Walsall met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Leicester and Walsall?
Leicester have taken 10 points from their last five (DWLWW), Walsall 10 from theirs (WLWDW). Most recently Leicester took a 2-2 draw at home to Stevenage and Walsall a 3-1 win away at Colchester.
How many goals are expected in Leicester vs Walsall?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.40 — 2.00 for Leicester and 1.40 for Walsall. It rates over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 63%, so its call is yes.