Newport County vs Crystal Palace U21 match summary and prediction — EFL Trophy
Our model makes Newport County the pick at 46% for Newport County vs Crystal Palace U21. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Crystal Palace U21 travel to Newport County on 3 November 2026 at Rodney Parade, Newport. Newport County are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This group south 5 fixture in EFL Trophy is listed as Newport County - Crystal Palace U21. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Newport County: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Across those five they scored eight and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Crystal Palace U21: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Across those five they scored eight and conceded 16, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Newport County | Crystal Palace U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLDDW | LWLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 5 | 8 / 16 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 36% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Newport County's way at 56%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Newport County at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Newport County's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Newport County's way, especially at Rodney Parade.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Newport County or Crystal Palace U21?
Newport County, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Newport County, 18% the draw and 36% Crystal Palace U21.
When and where is Newport County vs Crystal Palace U21 being played?
3 November 2026 at Rodney Parade, Newport, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Newport County and Crystal Palace U21 met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Newport County and Crystal Palace U21?
Newport County have taken 8 points from their last five (WLDDW), Crystal Palace U21 3 from theirs (LWLLL). Most recently Newport County took a 4-1 win at home to Chesterfield and Crystal Palace U21 a 2-5 defeat at home to Southampton U21.
How many goals are expected in Newport County vs Crystal Palace U21?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 1.20 for Newport County and 2.00 for Crystal Palace U21. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.