Bayer Leverkusen W vs Hamburger SV W match summary and prediction — Frauen Bundesliga
Our model makes Bayer Leverkusen W the pick at 52% for Bayer Leverkusen W vs Hamburger SV W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Bayer Leverkusen W face Hamburger SV W on 7 November 2026 at Ulrich-Haberland-Stadion, Leverkusen. Bayer Leverkusen W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 52%. This matchday 9 fixture in Frauen Bundesliga is listed as Bayer Leverkusen W - Hamburger SV W. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Bayer Leverkusen W: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored six and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.6 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +1.
Hamburger SV W: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those five they scored eleven and conceded 14, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.1 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Bayer Leverkusen W | Hamburger SV W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 12th |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDWW | LDLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 6 | 11 / 14 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 48.6 | 38.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 52% | 27% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Bayer Leverkusen W 48.6 versus Hamburger SV W 38.1, a gap of 10.5, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.75, over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams to score at 65%.
- First goal: Leans Bayer Leverkusen W's way at 58%.
The call
The model tilts to Bayer Leverkusen W at 52%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Bayer Leverkusen W's way, especially at Ulrich-Haberland-Stadion.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Bayer Leverkusen W or Hamburger SV W?
Bayer Leverkusen W, with an implied win probability of roughly 52%. The full split is 52% Bayer Leverkusen W, 21% the draw and 27% Hamburger SV W.
When and where is Bayer Leverkusen W vs Hamburger SV W being played?
7 November 2026 at Ulrich-Haberland-Stadion, Leverkusen, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have Bayer Leverkusen W and Hamburger SV W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Bayer Leverkusen W and Hamburger SV W?
Bayer Leverkusen W have taken 7 points from their last five (LLDWW), Hamburger SV W 4 from theirs (LDLLW). Most recently Bayer Leverkusen W took a 0-1 defeat away at Bayern Munich W and Hamburger SV W a 3-4 defeat at home to Union Berlin W.
How many goals are expected in Bayer Leverkusen W vs Hamburger SV W?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.75 — 1.25 for Bayer Leverkusen W and 1.50 for Hamburger SV W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 72%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 65%, so its call is yes.