Mainz 05 W vs Stuttgart W — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Mainz 05 W the pick at 41% for Mainz 05 W vs Stuttgart W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Mainz 05 W host Stuttgart W on 8 November 2026. Mainz 05 W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 41%. This matchday 9 fixture in Frauen Bundesliga is listed as Mainz 05 W - Stuttgart W. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Mainz 05 W: they come in on four defeats in a row, following one win before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those five they scored seven and conceded 16, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 19.2 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -23.
Stuttgart W: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded 14, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 25.3 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -12.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Mainz 05 W | Stuttgart W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 11th |
| Goal difference | -23 | -12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLLW | WLLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 16 | 6 / 14 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 19.2 | 25.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 41% | 32% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Mainz 05 W 19.2 versus Stuttgart W 25.3, a gap of 6.1, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.25, over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Mainz 05 W's way at 52%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Mainz 05 W at 41%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Stuttgart W's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Mainz 05 W or Stuttgart W?
Mainz 05 W, with an implied win probability of roughly 41%. The full split is 41% Mainz 05 W, 26% the draw and 32% Stuttgart W.
When and where is Mainz 05 W vs Stuttgart W being played?
8 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have Mainz 05 W and Stuttgart W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Mainz 05 W and Stuttgart W?
Mainz 05 W have taken 3 points from their last five (LLLLW), Stuttgart W 6 from theirs (WLLLW). Most recently Mainz 05 W took a 0-2 defeat at home to Werder Bremen W and Stuttgart W a 3-0 win at home to SGS Essen W.
How many goals are expected in Mainz 05 W vs Stuttgart W?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.25 — 0.25 for Mainz 05 W and 1.00 for Stuttgart W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.