Stuttgart W vs Bayer Leverkusen W: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Stuttgart W the pick at 44% for Stuttgart W vs Bayer Leverkusen W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Stuttgart W face Bayer Leverkusen W on 16 November 2026. Stuttgart W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 44%. This matchday 10 fixture in Frauen Bundesliga is listed as Stuttgart W - Bayer Leverkusen W. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Stuttgart W: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded 13, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.8 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of -10.
Bayer Leverkusen W: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 59.1 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Stuttgart W | Bayer Leverkusen W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 5th |
| Goal difference | -10 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLLL | WLLDW |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 13 | 6 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 35.8 | 59.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 44% | 36% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Stuttgart W 35.8 versus Bayer Leverkusen W 59.1, a gap of 23.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.90, over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Stuttgart W's way at 54%.
The call
The model edges towards Stuttgart W at 44%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Stuttgart W or Bayer Leverkusen W?
Stuttgart W, with an implied win probability of roughly 44%. The full split is 44% Stuttgart W, 21% the draw and 36% Bayer Leverkusen W.
When and where is Stuttgart W vs Bayer Leverkusen W being played?
16 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Stuttgart W and Bayer Leverkusen W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Stuttgart W and Bayer Leverkusen W?
Stuttgart W have taken 6 points from their last five (WWLLL), Bayer Leverkusen W 7 from theirs (WLLDW). Most recently Stuttgart W took a 3-1 win away at Mainz 05 W and Bayer Leverkusen W a 2-0 win at home to Hamburger SV W.
How many goals are expected in Stuttgart W vs Bayer Leverkusen W?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.90 — 1.50 for Stuttgart W and 1.40 for Bayer Leverkusen W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 66%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.