VfL Wolfsburg W vs Bayern Munich W match summary and prediction — Frauen Bundesliga
Our model makes VfL Wolfsburg W the pick at 55% for VfL Wolfsburg W vs Bayern Munich W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Bayern Munich W travel to VfL Wolfsburg W on 14 November 2026 at AOK Stadion, Wolfsburg. VfL Wolfsburg W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 55%. This matchday 10 fixture in Frauen Bundesliga is listed as VfL Wolfsburg W - Bayern Munich W. Kick-off is 16:55 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
VfL Wolfsburg W: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored 26 and conceded one, with four clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 70.0 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +20.
Bayern Munich W: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two wins and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored 16 and conceded four, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 81.0 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +24.
Side by side
| Statistic | VfL Wolfsburg W | Bayern Munich W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 1st |
| Goal difference | +20 | +24 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWWW | WWDWW |
| Points from last 5 | 15 | 13 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 26 / 1 | 16 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 4 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 70.0 | 81.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 55% | 28% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: VfL Wolfsburg W 70.0 versus Bayern Munich W 81.0, a gap of 11.0, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 7.40, over 2.5 goals at 75% and both teams to score at 65%.
- First goal: Leans VfL Wolfsburg W's way at 55%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to VfL Wolfsburg W at 55%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts VfL Wolfsburg W's way, especially at AOK Stadion.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: VfL Wolfsburg W or Bayern Munich W?
VfL Wolfsburg W, with an implied win probability of roughly 55%. The full split is 55% VfL Wolfsburg W, 17% the draw and 28% Bayern Munich W.
When and where is VfL Wolfsburg W vs Bayern Munich W being played?
14 November 2026 at AOK Stadion, Wolfsburg, kick-off 16:55 UTC.
Have VfL Wolfsburg W and Bayern Munich W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of VfL Wolfsburg W and Bayern Munich W?
VfL Wolfsburg W have taken 15 points from their last five (WWWWW), Bayern Munich W 13 from theirs (WWDWW). Most recently VfL Wolfsburg W took a 3-1 win away at Eintracht Frankfurt W and Bayern Munich W a 3-1 win at home to Werder Bremen W.
How many goals are expected in VfL Wolfsburg W vs Bayern Munich W?
The model's combined scoring line is 7.40 — 4.00 for VfL Wolfsburg W and 3.40 for Bayern Munich W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 75%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 65%, so its call is yes.