Olympiakos Piraeus vs OFI: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes a draw the pick at 47% for Olympiakos Piraeus vs OFI. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Olympiakos Piraeus host OFI on 12 September 2026 at Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 47%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This matchday 4 fixture in Super League 1 is listed as Olympiakos Piraeus - OFI. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Olympiakos Piraeus: they come in on the back of a win, following three wins and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (34 scored and 37 conceded in 32 matches, 1.06 and 1.16 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.8 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +2.
OFI: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (23 scored and 23 conceded in 15 matches, 1.53 and 1.53 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.8 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Olympiakos Piraeus | OFI |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 6th |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWWW | WWDLW |
| Points from last 5 | 13 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 3 | 8 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 4 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 32 | 15 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.06 / 1.16 | 1.53 / 1.53 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.38 | 1.53 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 48.8 | 45.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 34% | 19% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Olympiakos Piraeus 48.8 versus OFI 45.8, a gap of 3.1, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.30, over 2.5 goals at 10% and both teams to score at 32%.
- First goal: Leans Olympiakos Piraeus' way at 61%.
The call
The model tilts to a draw at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Olympiakos Piraeus or OFI?
Neither side. Our model splits it 34% Olympiakos Piraeus, 47% the draw and 19% OFI, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Olympiakos Piraeus vs OFI being played?
12 September 2026 at Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Olympiakos Piraeus and OFI?
OFI 0-3 Olympiakos Piraeus on 14 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Olympiakos Piraeus and OFI?
Olympiakos Piraeus have taken 13 points from their last five (WDWWW), OFI 10 from theirs (WWDLW). Most recently Olympiakos Piraeus took a 3-2 win at home to Volos NFC and OFI a 3-0 win at home to Nestos Chrisoupolis.
How many goals are expected in Olympiakos Piraeus vs OFI?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.30 — 0.80 for Olympiakos Piraeus and 1.50 for OFI. It rates over 2.5 goals at 10%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 32%, so its call is no.