Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Panathinaikos the pick at 56% for Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Panathinaikos host Panetolikos on 13 September 2026 at Olympic Stadium of Athens, Athens. Panathinaikos are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 56%. This matchday 4 fixture in Super League 1 is listed as Panathinaikos - Panetolikos. Kick-off is 18:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Panathinaikos: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (32 scored and 32 conceded in 30 matches, 1.07 and 1.07 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.5 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +6.
Panetolikos: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 24 conceded in 20 matches, 1.0 and 1.2 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.5 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +6.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Panathinaikos | Panetolikos |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 2nd |
| Goal difference | +6 | +6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWWW | WWWLD |
| Points from last 5 | 15 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 3 | 10 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 30 | 20 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.07 / 1.07 | 1.0 / 1.2 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.3 | 1.05 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 56.5 | 56.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 56% | 8% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.60, over 2.5 goals at 13% and both teams to score at 40%.
- First goal: Leans Panathinaikos' way at 69%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Panathinaikos at 56%, a gap of 20 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Panathinaikos's way, especially at Olympic Stadium of Athens.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Panathinaikos or Panetolikos?
Panathinaikos, with an implied win probability of roughly 56%. The full split is 56% Panathinaikos, 36% the draw and 8% Panetolikos.
When and where is Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos being played?
13 September 2026 at Olympic Stadium of Athens, Athens, kick-off 18:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Panathinaikos and Panetolikos?
Panathinaikos 0-0 Panetolikos on 15 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Panathinaikos and Panetolikos?
Panathinaikos have taken 15 points from their last five (WWWWW), Panetolikos 10 from theirs (WWWLD). Most recently Panathinaikos took a 3-1 win at home to Kifisia and Panetolikos a 2-0 win away at Levadiakos.
How many goals are expected in Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.60 — 0.60 for Panathinaikos and 1.00 for Panetolikos. It rates over 2.5 goals at 13%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 40%, so its call is no.