Panetolikos vs PAOK: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes a draw the pick at 51% for Panetolikos vs PAOK. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Panetolikos host PAOK on 20 September 2026 at Panetolikos Stadium, Agrinon. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 51%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This matchday 5 fixture in Super League 1 is listed as Panetolikos - PAOK. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Panetolikos: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 24 conceded in 20 matches, 1.0 and 1.2 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.8 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +3.
PAOK: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (47 scored and 29 conceded in 26 matches, 1.81 and 1.12 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.2 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +5.
Side by side
| Statistic | Panetolikos | PAOK |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWWL | WLDWL |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 8 | 7 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 20 | 26 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.0 / 1.2 | 1.81 / 1.12 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.05 | 1.58 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 55.8 | 56.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 19% | 30% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.60, over 2.5 goals at 10% and both teams to score at 36%.
- First goal: Leans PAOK's way at 51%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to a draw at 51%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Panetolikos or PAOK?
Neither side. Our model splits it 19% Panetolikos, 51% the draw and 30% PAOK, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Panetolikos vs PAOK being played?
20 September 2026 at Panetolikos Stadium, Agrinon, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Panetolikos and PAOK?
Panetolikos 0-3 PAOK on 10 January 2026.
What is the recent form of Panetolikos and PAOK?
Panetolikos have taken 9 points from their last five (LWWWL), PAOK 7 from theirs (WLDWL). Most recently Panetolikos took a 0-3 defeat away at Panathinaikos and PAOK a 2-0 win at home to Aris Thessalonikis.
How many goals are expected in Panetolikos vs PAOK?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.60 — 1.00 for Panetolikos and 0.60 for PAOK. It rates over 2.5 goals at 10%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 36%, so its call is no.