Volos NFC vs AEK Athens FC match summary and prediction — Super League 1
Our model makes AEK Athens FC the pick at 53% for Volos NFC vs AEK Athens FC. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Volos NFC face AEK Athens FC on 20 September 2026 at Panthessaliko Stadium, Volos. AEK Athens FC are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 53%. This matchday 5 fixture in Super League 1 is listed as Volos NFC - AEK Athens FC. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Volos NFC: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following three draws before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 27 conceded in 13 matches, 0.85 and 2.08 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 30.7 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -4.
AEK Athens FC: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (32 scored and 15 conceded in 18 matches, 1.78 and 0.83 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 53.9 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +9.
Side by side
| Statistic | Volos NFC | AEK Athens FC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 5th |
| Goal difference | -4 | +9 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDDD | DWWWD |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 11 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 10 | 10 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 13 | 18 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.85 / 2.08 | 1.78 / 0.83 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.46 | 2.11 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 30.7 | 53.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 7% | 53% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Volos NFC 30.7 versus AEK Athens FC 53.9, a gap of 23.3, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.75, over 2.5 goals at 16% and both teams to score at 31%.
- First goal: Leans AEK Athens FC's way at 70%.
The call
The model tilts to AEK Athens FC at 53%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. AEK Athens FC's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Volos NFC or AEK Athens FC?
AEK Athens FC, with an implied win probability of roughly 53%. The full split is 7% Volos NFC, 40% the draw and 53% AEK Athens FC.
When and where is Volos NFC vs AEK Athens FC being played?
20 September 2026 at Panthessaliko Stadium, Volos, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have Volos NFC and AEK Athens FC met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Volos NFC and AEK Athens FC?
Volos NFC have taken 3 points from their last five (LLDDD), AEK Athens FC 11 from theirs (DWWWD). Most recently Volos NFC took a 1-3 defeat away at Kalamata and AEK Athens FC a 1-1 draw away at Asteras Tripolis.
How many goals are expected in Volos NFC vs AEK Athens FC?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.75 — 0.75 for Volos NFC and 1.00 for AEK Athens FC. It rates over 2.5 goals at 16%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 31%, so its call is no.