Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos: the numbers, the form and our prediction
There is barely anything between Asteras Tripolis and Levadiakos on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Asteras Tripolis face Levadiakos on 24 October 2026 at Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, Tripolis. Asteras Tripolis are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 39%. This matchday 8 fixture in Super League 1 is listed as Asteras Tripolis - Levadiakos. Kick-off is 16:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Asteras Tripolis: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 24 conceded in 19 matches, 1.11 and 1.26 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 39.7 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -8.
Levadiakos: they come in on the back of a draw, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (23 scored and 24 conceded in 15 matches, 1.53 and 1.6 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 28.9 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -11.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Asteras Tripolis | Levadiakos |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 13th |
| Goal difference | -8 | -11 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWDWD | DLLDL |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 2 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 9 | 0 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 19 | 15 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.11 / 1.26 | 1.53 / 1.6 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.21 | 1.4 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 39.7 | 28.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 39% | 37% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Asteras Tripolis 39.7 versus Levadiakos 28.9, a gap of 10.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Asteras Tripolis' way at 48%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Asteras Tripolis is the nominal pick at 39%, but the three results sit close to even. Asteras Tripolis' form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Asteras Tripolis's way, especially at Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Asteras Tripolis or Levadiakos?
Asteras Tripolis, with an implied win probability of roughly 39%. The full split is 39% Asteras Tripolis, 24% the draw and 37% Levadiakos.
When and where is Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos being played?
24 October 2026 at Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, Tripolis, kick-off 16:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Asteras Tripolis and Levadiakos?
Levadiakos 3-1 Asteras Tripolis on 01 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Asteras Tripolis and Levadiakos?
Asteras Tripolis have taken 8 points from their last five (LWDWD), Levadiakos 2 from theirs (DLLDL). Most recently Asteras Tripolis took a 1-5 defeat away at Panathinaikos and Levadiakos a 0-0 draw at home to Volos NFC.
How many goals are expected in Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 0.80 for Asteras Tripolis and 1.20 for Levadiakos. It rates over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.