Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis: the numbers, the form and our prediction
There is barely anything between Levadiakos and Aris Thessalonikis on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Levadiakos face Aris Thessalonikis on 1 November 2026 at Levadia Municipal Stadium, Levaja. Aris Thessalonikis are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 37%. This matchday 9 fixture in Super League 1 is listed as Levadiakos - Aris Thessalonikis. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Levadiakos: they come in on two successive draws, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (23 scored and 24 conceded in 15 matches, 1.53 and 1.6 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 32.2 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -11.
Aris Thessalonikis: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 10 conceded in 13 matches, 1.38 and 0.77 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 58.1 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of -1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Levadiakos | Aris Thessalonikis |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 4th |
| Goal difference | -11 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDLLD | LWWWD |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 0 / 3 | 9 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 15 | 13 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.53 / 1.6 | 1.38 / 0.77 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.4 | 1.85 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 32.2 | 58.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 33% | 37% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 3) | 0 | 1 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 3): Levadiakos none wins, Aris Thessalonikis one win, two draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Aris Thessalonikis 3-0 Levadiakos on 17 May 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in two of the three — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Levadiakos 32.2 versus Aris Thessalonikis 58.1, a gap of 25.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Aris Thessalonikis' way at 48%.
The call
The model does not commit. Aris Thessalonikis is the nominal pick at 37%, but the three results sit close to even. Aris Thessalonikis' stronger recent metrics back it, the goals line points to under 2.5 goals and draw probability stays material given the head-to-head draw rate.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Levadiakos or Aris Thessalonikis?
Aris Thessalonikis, with an implied win probability of roughly 37%. The full split is 33% Levadiakos, 30% the draw and 37% Aris Thessalonikis.
When and where is Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis being played?
1 November 2026 at Levadia Municipal Stadium, Levaja, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Levadiakos and Aris Thessalonikis?
Aris Thessalonikis 3-0 Levadiakos on 17 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Levadiakos and Aris Thessalonikis?
Levadiakos have taken 3 points from their last five (DDLLD), Aris Thessalonikis 10 from theirs (LWWWD). Most recently Levadiakos took a 0-0 draw away at Asteras Tripolis and Aris Thessalonikis a 1-2 defeat away at Panathinaikos.
How many goals are expected in Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 0.60 for Levadiakos and 1.60 for Aris Thessalonikis. It rates over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.